Florida midterms — Nov 3, 2026
Byron Donalds (R) vs David Jolly (D) for governor. Ashley Moody (R) vs Angie Nixon (D) for U.S. Senate. Live Polymarket odds now — vote tallies on Election Day.
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Money · The Record · Polymarket — updated for the midterm field
Nominees are set. Odds and polls refresh about every minute — vote tallies go live on Nov 3.
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Tip: use each card's Share this matchup buttons — those links get a full VS preview on Facebook and Messages.
Open seat — Gov. Ron DeSantis is term-limited. Republican Byron Donalds vs Democrat David Jolly. Midterm general election Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
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Special election to finish Marco Rubio’s term. Incumbent Sen. Ashley Moody (R) vs state Rep. Angie Nixon (D). Both won their Aug 18 primaries. Election Day: November 3, 2026.
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Every Florida monetary market we track — share a card for a live odds preview. Trader money ≠ polls.
Who wins Florida governor Nov 3, 2026 — Byron Donalds (R) vs David Jolly (D).
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Special U.S. Senate race — Ashley Moody (R) vs Angie Nixon (D) to finish Rubio’s term.
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Predicted winning margin in the Florida governor general election.
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Predicted winning margin in the Florida U.S. Senate special election.
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Will FL "Save Our Homes" property-tax referendum pass?
November 2026 Florida property-tax / homestead-related referendum — markets price yes/no (state amendments need 60% yes).
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Total U.S. House seats Democrats are priced to win in Florida in 2026.
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Tampa Bay FL-14 — party winner market (Castor district dynamics).
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South Florida FL-22 party-control market.
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Central Florida FL-09 — Soto seat after redistricting.
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FL-07 general election — party winner market.
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Drop a Governor or Senate card in group chats when markets move — previews show current Polymarket odds.
Statewide measures on the Nov 3 ballot — need 60% yes to pass
Raise the rainy-day fund cap from 10% to 25% of net general revenue and require an annual transfer into the fund.
Exempt farm equipment and related tangible personal property used for agriculture or agritourism from property taxes.
Increase the homestead exemption for non-school taxes, lower the non-homestead assessment cap, and restrict how local governments spend property-tax revenue.
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Governor and Senate head-to-head Open Graph cards now use All-American fight-night art — gloves up, red vs blue corners, live odds on the poster. Share /h2h/florida-governor or /h2h/florida-senate-special for the full effect.
Featured big-county ballot links on /ballot, more Supervisor of Elections URLs, sitemap/IndexNow aligned to canonical market IDs, and dead House race links removed from market cards. Share Miami-Dade, Broward, Hillsborough, or Orange when talking local ballots.
Every county now has a shareable Nov 3 guide — Amendments 1–3, Donalds vs Jolly, Moody vs Nixon, and your Supervisor of Elections link. Start at /ballot or jump straight to /ballot/miami-dade.
Phone layout tightened (taller taps, clearer H2H cards, slim top nav). Share Governor/Senate/markets cards when odds move — and reopen /updates for what’s new through Nov 3.
Primary archives removed. Red Until Dead is now focused on the Nov 3 midterms: Donalds vs Jolly, Moody vs Nixon, Polymarket boards, money, The Record, and ballot amendments.
Every FL Polymarket we track — shareable live odds.
Raised / spent / donors for Donalds, Jolly, Moody, Nixon.
Public-file notes for both sides of Governor & Senate.
Nov 3 ballot sheet — races + Amendments 1–3.
Amendments + all 67 county pages.
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Quick answers for voters tracking the Nov 3, 2026 ballot.
