Data sources
We show where numbers come from so you can check them yourself. Live prediction markets refresh from Polymarket's public API. Vote totals on Election Night will cite the Florida Division of Elections and county supervisors.
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How we dig in
- Candidates: Florida Division of Elections qualified lists + Ballotpedia / Wikipedia profiles for Nov 3 nominees.
- Polls: Published pollsters and averages (FiftyPlusOne, RCP, Wikipedia tables, and more).
- Markets: Polymarket event pages and live API prices.
- Money: FEC for Senate/House; Florida state filings (via Transparency USA) for Governor. See the Money tracker.
- Votes: FL DOS + county supervisors (election night unofficial, then certified).
Official results & filings
Official state election authority. Candidate filings, election calendar, and certified results.
Official federal campaign finance filings for Senate and House — receipts, disbursements, cash, committees, and itemized contributions.
Aggregates Florida state campaign finance filings — used for Governor and other non-federal races that do not file with the FEC.
County-level early vote, Election Day turnout, and unofficial results on election night.
Candidate & race lists
Nonpartisan encyclopedia of American politics. Candidate lists and race coverage.
Crowdsourced encyclopedic coverage of races, candidates, endorsements, and polling tables.
Prediction markets
Polls & averages
Polling aggregator for averages and individual poll results.
Polling averages and poll archive.
Election maps and polling averages.
Polling averages for competitive races.
News & reporting
Races we track (2)
- Florida Governor — General Election — 5 sources · 2 candidates
- U.S. Senate (Special) — General Election — 4 sources · 2 candidates
Sponsored or internal polls are labeled when we know. Prediction markets are not scientific polls. Independent Florida midterms tracker for November 3, 2026.