Data sources

We show where numbers come from so you can check them yourself. Live prediction markets refresh from Polymarket's public API. Vote totals on Primary Night will cite the Florida Division of Elections and county supervisors.

Share this page

Preview uses this page's link card

How we dig in

Candidates: Florida Division of Elections qualified lists + Ballotpedia primary pages (Republicans only).
Polls: Published pollsters and averages (FiftyPlusOne, RCP, Wikipedia tables, and more).
Markets: Polymarket event pages and live API prices.
Money: FEC for Senate/House; Florida state filings (via Transparency USA) for Governor. See the Money tracker.
Votes: FL DOS + county supervisors (election night unofficial, then certified).

Official results & filings

Florida Division of Elections

Official state election authority. Candidate filings, election calendar, and certified results.

https://dos.elections.myflorida.com/

Federal Election Commission

Official federal campaign finance filings for Senate and House — receipts, disbursements, cash, committees, and itemized contributions.

https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/?cycle=2026&state=FL

Transparency USA (Florida)

Aggregates Florida state campaign finance filings — used for Governor and other non-federal races that do not file with the FEC.

https://www.transparencyusa.org/fl/candidates

Florida County Supervisors of Elections

County-level early vote, Election Day turnout, and unofficial results on primary night.

https://dos.elections.myflorida.com/supervisors/

Candidate & race lists

Ballotpedia

Nonpartisan encyclopedia of American politics. Candidate lists and primary coverage.

https://ballotpedia.org/Republican_Party_primaries_in_Florida,_2026

Wikipedia

Crowdsourced encyclopedic coverage of races, candidates, endorsements, and polling tables.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Florida_gubernatorial_election

Prediction markets

Polymarket

Prediction market. Live trader-implied probabilities and trading volume (not a poll).

https://polymarket.com/

Polls & averages

FiftyPlusOne

Polling aggregator for primary averages and individual poll results.

https://fiftyplusone.news/polls/governor/republican-primary/florida

RealClearPolitics

Polling averages and poll archive.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/

270toWin

Election maps and polling averages.

https://www.270towin.com/

Race to the WH

Polling averages for competitive races.

https://www.racetothewh.com/

News & reporting

Wire & Local Press

Florida Politics, local TV, and national wire reporting on campaigns and results.

https://floridapolitics.com/

Races we track (10)

Florida Governor — Republican Primary — 5 sources · 11 candidates
U.S. Senate (Special) — Republican Primary — 3 sources · 4 candidates
U.S. House FL-01 — Republican Primary — 2 sources · 3 candidates
U.S. House FL-02 — Republican Primary — 2 sources · 8 candidates
U.S. House FL-05 — Republican Primary — 2 sources · 2 candidates
U.S. House FL-06 — Republican Primary — 2 sources · 5 candidates
U.S. House FL-07 — Republican Primary — 2 sources · 4 candidates
U.S. House FL-09 — Republican Primary — 2 sources · 7 candidates
U.S. House FL-11 — Republican Primary — 2 sources · 5 candidates
U.S. House FL-14 — Republican Primary — 2 sources · 8 candidates

Sponsored or internal polls are labeled when we know. Prediction markets are not scientific polls. Independent site focused on Republican primary contests.