Republican races
Florida GOP primaries on August 18, 2026. Every race includes an odds panel — live numbers when a market exists, or a clear explanation when it doesn't. Closed primary
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Statewide · odds status
Governor
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Open seat — Gov. Ron DeSantis is term-limited. Winner is the Republican nominee for November 3, 2026. Eleven Republicans qualified. Byron Donalds leads public polls and prediction markets.
Prediction market odds?
LiveNot a poll and not a vote. Markets resolve to the official primary winner. Site refresh cycle: about every minute.
U.S. Senate
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Special election to finish Marco Rubio’s term after he became Secretary of State. Incumbent Sen. Ashley Moody faces three primary challengers. General election: Nov 3, 2026.
Prediction market odds?
No numbersNo public prediction market listed yet
Polymarket (and similar platforms) do not currently list a dedicated Republican-primary winner market for U.S. Senate (Special) — Republican Primary. Statewide races sometimes get markets late or only for the general election.
Often closer to Primary Day (Aug 18) or after a clear frontrunner narrative. We re-check about every minute.
U.S. House districts
FL-01
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Prediction market odds?
No numbersNo prediction market for this district
U.S. House district primaries (FL-01) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.
Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.
FL-02
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Prediction market odds?
No numbersNo prediction market for this district
U.S. House district primaries (FL-02) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.
Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.
FL-05
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Prediction market odds?
No numbersNo prediction market for this district
U.S. House district primaries (FL-05) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.
Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.
FL-06
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Prediction market odds?
No numbersNo prediction market for this district
U.S. House district primaries (FL-06) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.
Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.
FL-07
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Prediction market odds?
No numbersNo prediction market for this district
U.S. House district primaries (FL-07) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.
Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.
FL-09
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Prediction market odds?
No numbersNo prediction market for this district
U.S. House district primaries (FL-09) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.
Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.
FL-11
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Prediction market odds?
No numbersNo prediction market for this district
U.S. House district primaries (FL-11) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.
Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.
FL-14
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
Prediction market odds?
No numbersNo prediction market for this district
U.S. House district primaries (FL-14) rarely have liquid prediction markets. Traders focus on governor/senate and national control markets. We still track candidates, polls when published, and official vote counts.
Odds appear only if a market is created on Polymarket (uncommon for House). Polls may appear if a pollster releases a district survey. Vote tallies go live after 7:00 PM ET on Aug 18.